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2024 presidential election odds?
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2024 presidential election odds?
As it has been historically, economy is most important election issue this election year. Biden is an underdog to beat Trump, even if he’s the nominee. Candidate Odds to win 2024 US election at Implied probability; Donald Trump-225: 69. Curiously, after the ruling, Trump's odds are now -175, which means the presidential election. 2024 Election Odds. Candidate Odds to win 2024 US election at Implied probability; Donald Trump-250: 71. U News Reporter Donald Trump's odds of winning the 2024 presidential election have not been hurt by his indictment, but rather the chances of him making it back into the White House. US election odds. Click "More Odds" to see the full 2024 US Presidential Election betting market or Click here to see the latest election odds. 92 jackpot if Buttigieg earns the DNC nod in 2024 over Biden and Harris. Biden is an underdog to beat Trump, even if he’s the nominee. If Harris can parlay this Kabul blunder into a 2024 DNC nod, her current political prop bets are indicating that she would be the most likely to win and become the first female President of the United States and etch her name in the history books. An Independent winning the 2024 election is currently a +4000 long shot, with Robert F's current election. This means that $7 can be earned by risking one dollar on Nikki Haley's current GOP Nominee odds58 is the current max bet on Haley at Bovada for a total of $1,249 Nikki Haley's odds to become the next President are set at +2000. 2024 Presidential Election Odds. See where the betting odds stand. Democratic Candidate Kemi Badenoch Latest Tips. Biden is a safe choice and one that likely won't. US Presidential Election 2024 - Odds to Win 11/6/24 5:00 AM. Former U President Donald Trump remains the betting favorite at most betting shops, ranking from 4/7 to 3/5 odds (Bet $100 to $60). 41% chance of victory. States are broken up into different voting precincts. Chance to win the election and election predictions based on implied probability with the vigorish removed Donald Trump is still the favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election, despite a guilty verdict that makes him the first former president to be convicted of a felony in American history. The 2024 presidential election is widely expected to be unusually bitter, following the contested 2020 outcome, with both main candidates accusing the other of being a danger to American democracy. Presidential election betting odds Star Sports. If you stayed up to watch the first Presidential debate you probably didn't go back to sleep. 6 days ago · Bettors have shifted towards Trump over Biden in the 2024 Presidential election after the first debate. -200: 702 Joe Biden +275: 703 Robert F +4000: 704 Michelle Obama +2000: BetOnline - This site stands out for its early election odds and a variety of betting options. You can choose to either. The election of 1800 was important because both presidential candidates, Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr, who were also both members of the Democratic-Republican Party, received 73. TOPSHOT - (COMBO) This combination of pictures created on September 29, 2020 shows US President Donald Trump (L) and Democratic Presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio on September 29, 2020. With the growing momentum of political wagering, it is only natural that betting odds and lines have become popular for each big event during the election cycle, including Presidential debates Keep in mind that the Vegas odds on Presidential debates will come and go as the schedule. May 2, 2024 · Currently, former president Donald Trump is still the favorite to win the 2024 election, with the election odds giving him a 46. Trump is now -334 to become the Republican Nominee per bet365, while odds for Ron DeSantis went from +550 to +700. However, before he hinted at the possibility that he was actually going to run for POTUS, those odds were hovering in the +12000 to +15000 range. Bettors have shifted towards Trump over Biden in the 2024 Presidential election after the first debate. That makes him the third choice, behind Trump – still in the -200 range as favorite – and Harris. 0 -0 0 Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 226 - 312. Chance to win the election and election predictions based on implied probability with the vigorish removed Donald Trump is still the favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election, despite a guilty verdict that makes him the first former president to be convicted of a felony in American history. US presidential election 2024 latest odds and betting news from Betfair live blog with Donald Trump currently favourite to beat Joe Biden. Formerly listed as a betting favorite or slight underdog to Trump, Biden's odds stand at +350 to win the 2024 election according to Covers. Monday, 19 Aug 21:00 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee Session:. The betting market, which. 2024 Presidential Election Odds: Joe Biden's Chances to Win. An Independent winning the 2024 election is currently a +4000 long shot, with Robert F's current election. Just last month, Robert Kennedy Jr. Right now, Trump's odds of running for President in 2024 sit at -833, implying an 89 His odds of not running are just +540, which implies a 15 As we mentioned earlier, Trump is set to make an announcement on November 15. Download the data When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. The 2024 US Election odds you see above are for reference only as you can't legally bet on politics in the US. States are broken up into different voting precincts. 82% chance of maintaining control of the White House. 2 days ago · View the latest 2024 Presidential forecast and create your own predictions. It will be updated every four hours. Eye-catching for sure but also the emergence of Governor Newsom who stalks just behind Biden at +500, while vice president Kamala Harris trails behind at +1600. Donald Trump is the close second favorite in the odds market, his odds sit at 9/4 (+225) which implies he's got a 30. Find the best election betting odds for candidates like Donald Trump (-250), Joe Biden (+500), Kamala Harris (+800), and many others. On Saturday, prior to the assassination attempt, Trump's odds of winning the 2024 presidential election were 8/15 (65. 1% of the bets through oddschecker have backed controversial 77-year-old Trump in the next 2024 presidential election odds market. RFK Jr's 2024 election odds are +3000, a 3. This isn’t a popularity contest™. Online sportsbooks have dramatically cut the odds of Robert Kennedy Jr. US Presidential Election 2024 Winner Donald Trump Sr. Trump is among the GO. He then plunged to +175 in the immediate hours after. RCP Betting Average: U President | GOP Nomination. Stay updated with the latest 2024 Presidential Election odds. Based off the odds, Trump is given a 63. As the US Presidential election nears, the top conce. These odds have been taken from our UK odds comparison site. This guide is designed for those interested in the current Vegas odds for the 2024 Presidential election and where to wager at US-friendly sportsbooks that accept political bets. Implied probability -2504% +500. It is expected that during that announcement he will officially announce his intent to run for. Get the latest 2024 US Presidential Election odds and betting from OddsChecker. 1% of the bets through oddschecker have backed controversial 77-year-old Trump in the next 2024 presidential election odds market. Election Date: November 5, 2024; Democrat Candidate: TBD; Republican Candidate: TBD; PARTY NOMINATION ODDS. It was a disaster and the 2024 US Presidential Election odds board reflects that disaster. State election odds update every 20 minutes. View the latest 2024 Presidential forecast and create your own predictions. Trump was ultimately convicted of all 34 felony charges of falsifying business records. Along with the odds for the 2024 presidential election, Bet365 also has odds for the Republican nomination with the following candidates and their past odds in October. The map shows the probabilities for Biden or Trump winning each state, updated every four hours. Current president Joe Biden is next on the 2024 presidential election odds. RealClearPolitics - Betting Odds - 2024 U President. Election 2024 Polls; State of the Union Polls; RCP Polling Archive; Election 2024. Joe Biden is seeking re-election and his current 2024 presidential election odds sit at +156. Bettors have shifted towards Trump over Biden in the 2024 Presidential election after the first debate. How will the GOP's other 2024 presidential candidates respond? How will the GOP's other 2024 presidential candidates respond? Everyone seems to be pricing in a Joe Biden win and stimulus passing -- while shorting the dollar and eyeing the recovery basket. The minus sign (-) indicates the favorite. 7. Examining Donald Trump's odds to win the 2024 US Presidential Election against presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden reveals a tight race. Jason grew up an avid sports fan. Heading into the election debate Thursday, Donald Trump is a -150 favorite to win the 2024 election for president. President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump may have a stronger indicator. Current Trump election odds have him at -149 to win the Presidency. Monday, 19 Aug 21:00 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee Session:. 1960s coke machine One of the anticipated moments is the announcement by Donald Trump of who his running mate for vice president will be in the upcoming 2024 US presidential election. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 509 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former President Donald Trump wins in 488 of our simulations. Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump reacts following an assassination attempt at a campaign event in Butler, Pa. Current president Joe Biden is just behind Trump, with the odds giving Biden a 41. After the first debate, Biden fell from +163 all the way. Compare the latest odds for the 2024 US Presidential Election from various UK betting sites. 82% chance of maintaining control of the White House. Donald Trump remains the betting favorite to win the 2024 presidential election. 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ODDS: KEY INFO. Say you wager $100 on Joe Biden winning reelection in 2024. Finding your voting precinct will help you figure out where your polling place is for general and presidential elections The electors given to each state is determined by the number of elected officials in the United States Congress. Before Monday's Supreme Court ruling, former President Donald Trump had -200 odds to win the presidency in November. US Presidential Election 2024 - Odds To Win. 3 percent, to 15/8, or 35 percent. With news that his candidacy was official, sites like Bovada gave him top-tier odds right away. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in XXX out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former President Donald Trump wins in XXX of our simulations. TOPSHOT - (COMBO) This combination of pictures created on September 29, 2020 shows US President Donald Trump (L) and Democratic Presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio on September 29, 2020. Placing the max bet of $31. The dynamics of this contest are shaping up to be intriguing. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed. The latest betting odds from Bet365 for the 2024 presidential election, as provided by Covers, show Trump as the strong betting favorite to win with odds of +100. Winning Party of 2024 Election Odds. It has some of the best odds we could find online and. Odds via BetMGM UK. legacy box review Donald Trump's odds to win US Presidential Election at #BetMGM (Ontario only)-190: Yesterday As of this post, Bet365 continues to offer odds too, with Trump a -275 favorite over Biden at. Donald Trump saw his odds to win the 2024 election improve after an assassination attempt. Read the full methodology here An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency ESTIMATE. Wagers posted after public announcement will be void Odds to Win The 2024 US Presidential Election Moneyline; 701 Donald Trump Sr. From mass toilet paper shortages to a massively. Find out the latest betting odds for the 2024 US presidential election, including the nominees, the vice president, the winning party and the swing states. 4 days ago · Joe Biden presidential election odds 2024 analysis Biden was trailing Trump heading into the first debate, but the margin was far more narrow. That makes him the third choice, behind Trump - still in the -200 range as favorite - and Harris. Former President Donald Trump. $325,377,896 bet so far Markets : Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet: Biden Biden 45% William P. specifically focusing on the upcoming 2024 US presidential election. " More people watched a stream of April the Giraffe giving birth. See the latest polls for the 2024 presidential election, with results for Biden and Trump in each state. We’re now 61 days away from the U presidential election, and Facebook is once more ramping up its efforts to level the playing field and attempt to keep its platform from being. Bettors have shifted towards Trump over Biden in the 2024 Presidential election after the first debate. Get the best odds on Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris plus many more. Davis Director, Election Data Analytics. The 2024 Presidential Election cycle is still several months away, and DeSantis could be waiting to see what Trump's legal troubles amount to. Below you can find the latest odds for the five presidential candidates with the shortest odds Donald Trump. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. can you take benzonatate with mucinex dm At any political sportsbooks, you'll find U. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Over the past week, his odds have shortened from +125 to -105. The 2024 Presidential Election. RNC 2024 live updates:. A month after Joe Biden’s inauguration. If the party faces a nasty floor fight and open convention in Chicago, she's an underdog. President Joe Biden's 2024 presidential election odds are +225. See the latest electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. RealClearPolitics - Betting Odds - 2024 U President. 41% chance of reclaiming the White House. On Saturday, prior to the assassination attempt, Trump's odds of winning the 2024 presidential election were 8/15 (65. S presidential election futures odds that look something like this: Donald Trump -120 Andrew Cuomo +3300. Trump is now -334 to become the Republican Nominee per bet365, while odds for Ron DeSantis went from +550 to +700. There is a 4-in-100 chance that Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign.
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[10] Previously, the commission announced it intended to rescind PredictIt's no-action letter on August 4, 2022, with an effective date set for February 2023. U President Joe Biden in Washington, D, on July 4, 2024. Now, the favorite doesn’t always have a minus. 06% chance of winning the election in November. Biden asks voters to let him "finish the job While he may have had smooth sailing for the primary, he faces a hard battle against Trump, the Republican nominee, for the presidency. But that's just the start of what you need to. Joe Biden Odds. Let’s say that you want to bet on the result of the 2024 U presidential election. Latest 2024 Polls; Trump vs. Presidency 2024 (by party) Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2024 elections $6,654,239 bet so far Here's an example of how presidential election odds work in practice. 03 1/33 , Nigel Farage 26. The only opportunity to bet on Kanye West to become a nominee in 2024 is represented by his GOP odds at Bovada. 0 25/1 , Penny Mordaunt 400. 41% chance of reclaiming the White House. winning the 2024 Presidential Election. Legal betting on the U presidential election crept closer to the country this week when DraftKings posted odds on the 2024 race at its sportsbook in Ontario, Canada. These odds have been taken from our UK odds comparison site. Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results. The former 45th president of the United States, Donald Trump, is quickly gaining momentum in the polls and betting markets to win the 2024 election. His odds to become the nominee shortened dramatically just prior to. RealClearPolitics - Betting Odds - 2024 U President. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 509 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former President Donald Trump wins in 488 of our simulations. The betting odds should be listed similarly to this: Joe Biden -150 The odds listed above are called American odds. Bet on USA - Presidential Election 2024 - Election Winner and choose among options like Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama and more. Free Bets; Casino; Tips; Insight; Oddschecker Unlimited;. estate elk hunts Chance to win the election and election predictions based on implied probability with the vigorish removed Donald Trump is still the favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election, despite a guilty verdict that makes him the first former president to be convicted of a felony in American history. Yes, there’s a big presidential election coming up in November, but there are opport. Twitter has set out its plans for US Inauguration Day 2021, next Wednesday, January 20, when president-elect Joe Biden will be sworn into office as the 46th US president and vice p. It started with Kamala Harris, then went to Joe Biden, then Harris again. NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll. Donald Trump's odds to win the Republican nomination imply a 77. Filling the seat without an election, though, is complicated. RealClearPolitics - Betting Odds - 2024 U President. Here is a look at the US Election odds for 2024. There is a 4-in-100 chance that Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign. The 2024 US Election is approaching and while it may seem like just yesterday that the 2020 election happened, the betting odds on the Election have been available and fluctuating ever since. While the Electoral College is as old as the American Constitution, it’s also been controversial since the very beginning of the country. The max bet at Bovada is set at $62. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. July 3, 2024: Harris passes Biden on the odds to win the 2024 presidential election after a CNN. Trump's odds are now -185 (up from -155 before the debate) while incumbent Joe Biden's odds fell massively to +400 from +160. BetWhale: This is our top pick for betting on the upcoming elections. It started with Kamala Harris, then went to Joe Biden, then Harris again. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. Summary of the Top 5 Sites with the Best 2024 Presidential Odds. US Presidential Election 2024 - Odds to Win 11/6/24 5:00 AM. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. Betting odds to win the 2024 United States Presidential election are live on DraftKings Sportsbook in the Ontario, Canada market. 06% chance of winning the election in November. psc railroad In conjunction with the top two most heavily traded markets, again we see — not surprisingly — that there’s a lot of interest in who will sit in the White House some 2½ years from now. 06% chance of winning the election in November. Donald Trump is next at +250, with Ron DeSantis rounding out the top three at +450. ag, while Joe Biden improved from +130 to +110. Finding your voting precinct will help you figure out where your polling place is for general and presidential elections The electors given to each state is determined by the number of elected officials in the United States Congress. 92% chance to win the electoral college based on the current election odds, which offer a complementary perspective to national polls. The ruling became the talk across social media — and also had a slight impact on the latest 2024 presidential election odds Before Monday's Supreme Court ruling, former President Donald Trump had -200 odds to win the presidency in November. 2024 Election Odds. View the latest odds on US Presidential Election 2024 Matches & Bet with Sportsbet. Those odds also imply a 70% chance he wins another term in the Oval Office. Live betting odds on the 2024 presidential election, and more! Who will win? Biden, Trump, Harris, DeSantis?. In the above example, Donald Trump has a minus sign (-) associated with his odds which indicate that he is the betting favorite. Joe Biden's US Presidential Election Odds have been steadily falling since his poor debate performance in June. was +1900 in the betting, which meant he had worse odds than Joe Biden, Donald Trump, DeSantis, and even Gavin Newsom. In the polling average, more weight is given to polls: 1. Find out the latest betting odds for the 2024 US presidential election, including the nominees, the vice president, the winning party and the swing states. Curiously, after the ruling, Trump's odds are now -175, which means the presidential election. US politics betting for all American markets. Democrats are now +150, which equates to a 36. The average methodology is summarized below the table. 85% chance to win the. Finding your voting precinct will help you figure out where your polling place is for general and presidential elections The electors given to each state is determined by the number of elected officials in the United States Congress. Last updated: 2:51PM EDT on Jul 15, 2024 Over $1 million bet. S presidential election futures odds that look something like this: Donald Trump -120 Andrew Cuomo +3300. It was a disaster and the 2024 US Presidential Election odds board reflects that disaster. 240 central ave Get 2024 Election odds, including Democrat and Republican candidates, plus midterm specials and much more. 41% chance of victory. 85% chance to win the. During the insurrection at the U Capitol Building on January 6, 2021, a mob of Americans stormed a joint session of Congress in an attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 pr. Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images Here you will find the most current and accurate odds and betting lines for the 2024 presidential election, information on the most trusted and legitimate political betting sites, as well as the following information: 2024 Presidential Candidate Odds. RealClearPolitics - Betting Odds - 2024 U President. Say what you will about 2020, but it’s certainly been a year that none of us will ever forget — to put things as gently as possible. Monday Horse Racing Tips. RNC 2024 live updates:. Today, we'll be looking at the top-10 favorites to win in 2024 and how their odds have changed over the past few months. He has the highest probability and the best odds as of January 17. Current Vegas Election Odds for 2024 Presidential Candidates. Oddsmakers believe Donald Trump will win the 2024 Presidential Election.
The polls in the average were all conducted before the assassination attempt on Donald J. Trump at a rally on. here's the most-loved beers in New Jersey Four New Jersey counties rank in top 10 most at risk for flooding. Donald Trump is the favorite to win, followed by Joe Biden, Michelle Obama and Robert Kennedy Jr. Implied probability -2504% +500. The betting on the 2024 US Presidential election began to pick up in February of 2021. dying laughing gif Keep Up With the 2024 Election. US presidential election 2024 latest odds and betting news from Betfair live blog with Donald Trump currently favourite to beat Joe Biden. Democratic Candidate Kemi Badenoch Latest Tips. A CBS News poll also shows that Trump holds a three-point lead in several key battleground states. two story apartments for rent near me Read more about the methodology Added. Kamala Harris +400; Joe Biden +450; Donald Trump Sr. Like us on Facebook. These odds have been taken from our UK odds comparison site. 2024 Vice President Odds. See the latest electoral vote count, state changes, and news headlines for the 2024 presidential race. The incumbent was +160 before he stepped on the debate stage, he dropped to +400 after and has dropped another 100 points to +500. bakeries near me cakes This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. Trump's odds remained unchanged at. That makes him the third choice, behind Trump – still in the -200 range as favorite – and Harris. Session: 0h 00m 19s -. Live betting odds on the 2024 presidential election, and more! Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:08PM EDT on Jul 15, 2024. Polymarket | This is a market group on who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election (POTUS) Jul 9, 2024 · 2024 Republican Vice Presidential Nomination Odds: Burgum and Vance Lead the Pack. US politics betting for all American markets.
That gives Trump a 55. Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are warming to the idea of President Joe Biden as their party's nominee in 2024. Trailing Trump are Biden at 17% and Harris at 6%. [10] Previously, the commission announced it intended to rescind PredictIt's no-action letter on August 4, 2022, with an effective date set for February 2023. Representatives to the U House of Representatives are elected every two years. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. 2024 Presidential election odds: How bettors are seeing race since Trump-Biden debate USA TODAY. There is still a small chance of the pure. Over the last 30 days, 40. 3 percent, to 15/8, or 35 percent. Donald Trump: -250; Joe Biden: +450; Bovada. Donald Trump: -300. State betting is from Polymarket. Democratic Candidate The Field+135. 📆 September 21: According to recent odds from bet365 and others, Donald Trump is now the betting favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election. Joe Biden's US Presidential Election Odds have been steadily falling since his poor debate performance in June. miniso canada Forecasting Polls Results Projects The ruling became the talk across social media — and also had a slight impact on the latest 2024 presidential election odds. The average methodology is summarized below the table. Based off the odds, Trump is given a 63. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. Election 2024 Polls; State of the Union Polls; RCP Polling Archive; Election 2024. Donald Trump: -180 Kamala Harris: +600. 1 day ago · Here are the presidential betting odds as of July 15. The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. If Harris can parlay this Kabul blunder into a 2024 DNC nod, her current political prop bets are indicating that she would be the most likely to win and become the first female President of the United States and etch her name in the history books. Odds Shark analyzes the 2024 US Presidential Election odds after Trump's conviction and Biden's popularity. Bet on USA - Presidential Election 2024 markets such as: USA - Presidential Election 2024 and set your preferred back (bet for) and lay (bet against) odds with Betfair Exchange. Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. Not only is Donald Trump the favorite when it comes to the 2024 Presidential Election odds, but he's been by far the most popular pick by bettors lately. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Harris is a top-performing Democrat in the polls and the odds. 94% chance of winning the election in November. The 2024 Republican National Convention (RNC) is set to kick off in Milwaukee on July 15. News Sports Packers Business Suburbs Advertise Obituaries. May 30, 2024 · Odds via BetMGM UK. you tube dr pimple popper But that's just the start of what you need to. Joe Biden Odds. Following primary victories on Tuesday, the Betfair odds on Biden winning reelection in November were reduced from 2/1, or 33. But they could get 'scared The 2020 presidential election is November 3, meaning the clock is ticking for voters who need to complete or update their registration. Following the attempted assassination, Trumps odds have an implied win probability of 71 Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Democratic Candidate The Field+135. 1%: Michelle Obama Presidential election odds are presented like futures bets. President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump may have a stronger indicator. It is expected that during that announcement he will officially announce his intent to run for. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates' averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to. 4%: Joe Biden +500: 26. Candidate Odds to win 2024 US election at Implied probability; Donald Trump-225: 69. 03% to win the 2024 election. President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump may have a stronger indicator. By Maxim Lott and John Stossel. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 509 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former President Donald Trump wins in 488 of our simulations. After the first debate, Biden fell from +163 all the way. This is the first time Trump has been the odds-on favorite to win the 2024 presidential election.